Many election experts disagree with your analysis. They say Trump will win, many say in a landslide.
Its still a ways off. With a healthy economy, including record unemployment for almost every demographic. Then we have the Mueller report coming out more in his favor then not, and we’ll soon learn more about the illegal and unethical spying on his campaign.
Combine that with a lackluster field of Democrats running, and it’s all shaping up well for Trump at the moment.
Despite what folks say, I doubt anyone here would be willing to bet their life savings against him, the way things look today.