Quote from CHATSDALE
isreal may deny planning an unprovoked attach against iran but if the combination of nuclear and delivery system come together they are going to have no choice
same song, second verse
The ultimate question is this: is it better to fight this conflict NOW, or after they obtain nukes.
RealClearPolitics - Articles - The War Against Global Jihadism
Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has publicly stated more than once that he is a 'twelver', a believer that the creation of chaos against non-Muslims will hasten the return of the 12th Imam.
That simply MUST be taken under consideration when deciding whether his public statements are merely rhetoric, or policy.
Many Christians believe that the rapture will coincide with Armageddon. Imagine if you will, a prolific sect of Christians that believed that creating that Armageddon would hasten the day of rapture. Now, imagine them with the means to make it happen. Could you use 'diplomacy' to talk them out of their rapture? That would be an apt analogy, and THAT is what we are facing.
Is the risk of say, 5,000 more military American lives in the gulf today worth the tradeoff of preserving say, 100,000 civilian lives 5 yrs from now? A million?
Ultimately, it may well be that the solution to Iraq lies on the road to Iran. They are in fact, at war with us now. Iran's advisors AND their weapons are causing the brunt of American deaths and injury.
I see Iraq as the opening salvo in a much larger generational conflict, one we did not create but one in which we must win. I believe the stakes are just as high as WWII. And I believe that any ultimate settlement in Iraq that leads to 'failure' will have long ranging and devastating effects. We can only 'lose' if we decide to lose. They are outgunned and outclassed and know it. THAT is why their major weapon is propaganda and guerilla tactics designed to wear down and not win. THEY see victory as our withdrawal, not in combat with us. Their strategic goal is our tactical withdrawal. They are correct in at least one respect: this is a conflict that requires strategic thinking. No matter what you think of President Bush, our entry in Iraq was a strategic decision and not a tactical one.
Confusing the tactical consequences of one battlefield as paramount over the strategic battle in play is simply not wise, long term. Ultimately, be it by internal regime change or military encounter, Iran is on the strategic map. THEY put themselves there.
Diplomacy can only work when it brings together rational minds interested in the here and now. There is simply nothing you can put on the table that compares with the arrival of a savior, the 12th Imam.
No, the 'election' of a principle player in the 1979 hostage crisis as their President says much about Iran's strategic plans.